A House Divided: Geographic Disparities
in Twenty-First Century America

Conference Agenda

Friday, October 4

 

7:30 am

Registration and Breakfast

8:30 am

Welcome and Opening Remarks

Eric S. Rosengren
President and Chief Executive Officer
Federal Reserve Bank of Boston

Figures and Comments

Morning Moderator

Jeffrey P. Thompson
Senior Economist and Policy Advisor
Director, New England Public Policy Center
Federal Reserve Bank of Boston

9:00 am

Recent Employment Growth in Cities, Suburbs, and Rural Communities

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Economists have long studied persistent differences in labor market conditions across locations: urban versus rural, center-city versus suburbs, and large versus small cities. Have these labor market patterns changed during the past two decades? If so, what factors drove these changes: industrial shifts, differences in transportation infrastructure and lifestyle amenities, growing production externalities, or something else? Which level of geographic granularity is most relevant for policymakers who evaluate employment patterns: the state, city, or neighborhood level? And how do recent differences in employment growth relate to the regional rise in income inequality over time?

Authors

Benjamin K. Couillard
Senior Research Assistant
Federal Reserve Bank of Boston
Christopher L. Foote
Senior Economist and Policy Advisor
Federal Reserve Bank of Boston

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Discussant

Edward L. Glaeser
Fred and Eleanor Glimp Professor of Economics
Harvard University
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10:15 am

Break

10:45 am

Rethinking Regional Responses to Economic Shocks

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Economists have traditionally downplayed the importance of regional economic shocks. The lasting consequences of these shocks were thought to be small, as economists have assumed that residents living in adversely affected areas are free to migrate to places with better economic prospects. Recently, however, this sanguine view of regional shocks has been called into question. Why do some recent shocks—particularly those induced by trade—appear to have long-lasting effects on some communities? And should we expect future economic shocks to result in similar outcomes?

Authors

Katheryn N. Russ
Associate Professor of Economics
University of California, Davis
Jay C. Shambaugh
Director, The Hamilton Project & Senior Fellow, Economic Studies
Brookings Institution
Professor of Economics, Elliott School of International Affairs
George Washington University

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Discussant

David H. Autor
Ford Professor of Economics
Massachusetts Institute of Technology
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12:00 pm

Luncheon and Keynote Address

Paul Krugman
Distinguished Professor, Graduate Center
Fellow, Stone Center on Socio-Economic Inequality
City University of New York

Afternoon Moderator

Lawrence F. Katz
Elisabeth Allison Professor of Economics
Harvard University

1:30 pm

Geographic Variation in Education and Health

Education and health are two crucial components of human capital, and geography matters for the provision of both. But how does geography matter for education and health today? Do schools in large cities find it harder to provide adequate preschool, primary, and secondary educational opportunities than do schools in small cities or rural areas? How are health outcomes influenced by geographic differences in access to health care, whether these services encompass primary care or state-of-the-art medical advances? Do the ways that providers of education and health care are organized and incentivized matter for how well US cities and states supply these crucial services? Two papers will be presented at this session, the first on education and the second on health.

Education Author

Sarah E. Turner
Souder Family Endowed Chair
University Professor of Economics and Education
University of Virginia
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Health Author

Jonathan S. Skinner
James O. Freedman Presidential Professor of Economics
Dartmouth College
Professor, Department of Family & Community Medicine
Dartmouth Institute for Health Policy and Clinical Practice
The Geisel School of Medicine at Dartmouth College
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Discussant

Jonathan Gruber
Ford Professor of Economics
Massachusetts Institute of Technology

3:00 pm

Break

3:30 pm

US Internal Migration: Recent Patterns and Outstanding Puzzles

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It is recognized that US residents now migrate to different regions of the country less frequently than in the past. What does the current research suggest about the reasons for this decline in internal migration? How much of the decline is related to local housing policies that restrict residential construction in high-productivity localities? Are there deeper forces behind the decline in US migration, such as the desire of some young adults to remain closer to the places where they went to college or to graduate school? If so, is this increased desire to live near urban centers due to the amenities in these areas, or the higher returns to labor in these areas, particularly for educated workers?

Authors

Raven Saks Molloy
Chief, Real Estate Finance Section
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
Christopher L. Smith
Principal Economist, Labor Markets Section
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
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Discussant

Davide Furceri
Deputy Chief of the Development Macroeconomics Division
International Monetary Fund
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4:45 pm

Demographics in Rural America

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During the twentieth century, the mechanization of agriculture and the Great Migration of more than six million African Americans to northern cities had profound demographic effects on rural America. How do demographics today differ across rural and urban areas? In particular, how much “older” is rural America than urban America, and how do differences in labor force attachment and other outcomes depend on differences in age structures and/or educational attainment? What do current demographic trends predict for rural America in the coming few decades?

Author

László J. Kulcsár
Professor of Rural Sociology and Demography
Pennsylvania State University
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Discussant

Richard Florida
University Professor
Rotman School of Management
University of Toronto

6:00 pm

Reception

Saturday, October 5

8:00 am

Breakfast

Morning Moderator

Amy Ellen Schwartz
Daniel Patrick Moynihan Chair in Public Affairs
Maxwell School of Citizenship and Public Affairs
Syracuse University

9:00 am

Alternative Approaches to Measuring the Quality of Life

Assuming that people are free to migrate, economists predict that any variation in the quality of life between different locales should be short-lived. How well does the United States currently approximate this spatial equilibrium? Most economists also take it for granted that the high rents charged in thriving cities are prima facie evidence that cities improve the quality of life for urbanites. If so, then why do subjective measures of well-being, such as self-reported happiness surveys, indicate that rural residents are happier than their urban counterparts? This session uses two different perspectives to explore how spatial differences affect assessments of the quality of life. The first paper uses traditional econometric approaches from the economics literature, while the second paper exploits subjective survey data on well-being and happiness.

Econometrics Author

Matthew E. Kahn
Bloomberg Distinguished Professor of Economics and Business
Johns Hopkins University
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Survey Authors

Carol Graham
Leo Pasvolsky Senior Fellow
Research Director, Global Economy and Development Program
The Brookings Institution
Sérgio Pinto
Doctoral Candidate, School of Public Policy
University of Maryland

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Discussant

Betsey Stevenson
Associate Professor of Public Policy
Gerald R. Ford School of Public Policy
University of Michigan
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10:30 am

Break

11:00 am

Has the Time for Place-Based Policies Finally Arrived?
A Panel Discussion

Economists have generally favored policies targeted towards people, not places. But given the growing geographical differences for many economic outcomes in the United States, should we reconsider our attitudes toward place-based economic policies? If so, should these policies be based on tax incentives to promote economic growth and employment opportunities, improvements in infrastructure, investments in public education, or something else?

Panelists

Gilles Duranton
Dean’s Chair in Real Estate, The Wharton School
University of Pennsylvania
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David Neumark
Distinguished Professor of Economics
Director, Economic Self-Sufficiency Policy Research Institute
University of California, Irvine
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Lawrence H. Summers
Charles W. Eliot University Professor and President Emeritus
Harvard University

12:30 pm

Luncheon

1:30 pm

Adjournment